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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 25
0 Traders
$7.8M Vol.
💧$839.0K Liq

Trend

Outcomes

NO IMG
0 (0 bps)
$1,648,620.227 Vol.
12%
NO IMG
1 (25 bps)
$539,227.317 Vol.
21%
NO IMG
2 (50 bps)
$491,073.734 Vol.
26%
NO IMG
3 (75 bps)
$352,720.211 Vol.
20%
NO IMG
4 (100 bps)
$349,819.183 Vol.
10%
NO IMG
5 (125 bps)
$316,196.799 Vol.
6%
NO IMG
6 (150 bps)
$1,299,737.025 Vol.
3%
NO IMG
7 (175 bps)
$384,140.497 Vol.
1%
NO IMG
8 (200 bps)
$475,185.582 Vol.
1%
NO IMG
9 (225 bps)
$335,556.161 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
10 (250 bps)
$353,905.58 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
11 (275 bps)
$393,439.395 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
12+ (300+ bps)
$819,499.028 Vol.
3%

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price of $150,000 USD or higher on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before December 31, 2025, 23:59:59 UTC.

The resolution will be based on the highest price recorded on CoinMarketCap during the specified period. If Bitcoin reaches $150,000 at any point before the deadline, this market resolves to "Yes".

Resolution Criteria:

  • Primary source: CoinMarketCap historical data
  • Secondary sources: Coinbase, Binance, Kraken
  • Price must be sustained for at least 1 minute
  • UTC timezone for all timestamps

On-Chain Verification

UMA Question ID
N/A
Gnosis Condition ID
N/A
Resolution Source
Umacon & Polymarket
Resolver
0x...7a23

Verification data is sourced directly from the Polymarket protocol on the Polygon network. Predictions are resolved by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

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