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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Dec 31, 25
0 Traders
$289.3K Vol.
💧$4.3K Liq

Trend

Outcomes

NO IMG
Hong Wang
$40,170.938 Vol.
79%
NO IMG
Jacob Tsimerman
$44,259.666 Vol.
56%
NO IMG
Jack Thorne
$62,616.852 Vol.
44%
NO IMG
Sam Raskin
$6 Vol.
41%
NO IMG
Yu Deng
$37,952.331 Vol.
39%
NO IMG
John Pardon
$47,310.75 Vol.
36%
NO IMG
Will Sawin
$48 Vol.
34%
NO IMG
Julian Sahasrabudhe
$56,583.74 Vol.
21%
NO IMG
Aleksandr Logunov
$155 Vol.
16%
NO IMG
Alexander Efimov
$153 Vol.
16%

Select YES or NO to Buy shares

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price of $150,000 USD or higher on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before December 31, 2025, 23:59:59 UTC.

The resolution will be based on the highest price recorded on CoinMarketCap during the specified period. If Bitcoin reaches $150,000 at any point before the deadline, this market resolves to "Yes".

Resolution Criteria:

  • Primary source: CoinMarketCap historical data
  • Secondary sources: Coinbase, Binance, Kraken
  • Price must be sustained for at least 1 minute
  • UTC timezone for all timestamps

On-Chain Verification

UMA Question ID
N/A
Gnosis Condition ID
N/A
Resolution Source
Umacon & Polymarket
Resolver
0x...7a23

Verification data is sourced directly from the Polymarket protocol on the Polygon network. Predictions are resolved by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

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