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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 25
0 Traders
$19.4M Vol.
💧$1.5M Liq

Trend

Outcomes

NO IMG
0 (0 bps)
$3,214,344.125 Vol.
38%
NO IMG
1 (25 bps)
$1,040,786.47 Vol.
27%
NO IMG
2 (50 bps)
$1,012,733.467 Vol.
16%
NO IMG
3 (75 bps)
$934,841.906 Vol.
9%
NO IMG
4 (100 bps)
$970,010.604 Vol.
4%
NO IMG
5 (125 bps)
$1,066,493.649 Vol.
1%
NO IMG
6 (150 bps)
$2,112,581.668 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
7 (175 bps)
$953,381.217 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
8 (200 bps)
$1,224,470.27 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
9 (225 bps)
$1,231,052.541 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
10 (250 bps)
$1,714,341.315 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
11 (275 bps)
$2,048,037.678 Vol.
<1%
NO IMG
12+ (300+ bps)
$1,837,213.566 Vol.
<1%

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price of $150,000 USD or higher on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before December 31, 2025, 23:59:59 UTC.

The resolution will be based on the highest price recorded on CoinMarketCap during the specified period. If Bitcoin reaches $150,000 at any point before the deadline, this market resolves to "Yes".

Resolution Criteria:

  • Primary source: CoinMarketCap historical data
  • Secondary sources: Coinbase, Binance, Kraken
  • Price must be sustained for at least 1 minute
  • UTC timezone for all timestamps

On-Chain Verification

UMA Question ID
N/A
Gnosis Condition ID
N/A
Resolution Source
Umacon & Polymarket
Resolver
0x...7a23

Verification data is sourced directly from the Polymarket protocol on the Polygon network. Predictions are resolved by the UMA Optimistic Oracle.

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